Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000615 0.000660 0.000706 0.000757 0.000812 0.000870 0.000935
2025-12-07 0.000543 0.000606 0.000672 0.000749 0.000836 0.000930 0.001041
2025-12-14 0.000488 0.000560 0.000641 0.000737 0.000849 0.000974 0.001127
2025-12-21 0.000445 0.000525 0.000616 0.000727 0.000860 0.001015 0.001208
2025-12-28 0.000402 0.000485 0.000581 0.000701 0.000849 0.001025 0.001251
2026-01-04 0.000371 0.000456 0.000557 0.000687 0.000849 0.001047 0.001307
2026-01-11 0.000351 0.000439 0.000546 0.000686 0.000864 0.001086 0.001384
2026-01-18 0.000334 0.000425 0.000538 0.000687 0.000882 0.001129 0.001466
2026-01-25 0.000318 0.000411 0.000528 0.000686 0.000895 0.001165 0.001541
2026-02-01 0.000300 0.000393 0.000512 0.000675 0.000894 0.001182 0.001591
2026-02-08 0.000284 0.000377 0.000498 0.000666 0.000896 0.001201 0.001643
2026-02-15 0.000271 0.000364 0.000486 0.000659 0.000899 0.001223 0.001699
2026-02-22 0.000258 0.000351 0.000476 0.000655 0.000908 0.001255 0.001774
2026-03-01 0.000246 0.000341 0.000468 0.000653 0.000920 0.001292 0.001858
2026-03-08 0.000233 0.000327 0.000455 0.000645 0.000921 0.001313 0.001920
2026-03-15 0.000222 0.000315 0.000443 0.000637 0.000923 0.001335 0.001984
2026-03-22 0.000207 0.000297 0.000423 0.000615 0.000903 0.001324 0.001996
2026-03-29 0.000196 0.000284 0.000409 0.000602 0.000896 0.001331 0.002037
2026-04-05 0.000188 0.000277 0.000403 0.000601 0.000906 0.001365 0.002119
2026-04-12 0.000182 0.000271 0.000399 0.000602 0.000920 0.001403 0.002211
2026-04-19 0.000176 0.000264 0.000394 0.000601 0.000929 0.001436 0.002294
2026-04-26 0.000168 0.000255 0.000383 0.000592 0.000925 0.001446 0.002342
2026-05-03 0.000161 0.000246 0.000374 0.000584 0.000923 0.001460 0.002395